Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
38.06% ( 1.23) | 27.19% ( -0.28) | 34.75% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 50.23% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( 1.02) | 55.19% ( -1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( 0.83) | 76.43% ( -0.83) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( 1.22) | 28.11% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( 1.53) | 63.79% ( -1.52) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( -0.09) | 30.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( -0.11) | 66.27% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
> Championship Full Table |