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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Birmingham

Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Fisher (13')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Mejbri (90+8'), Bacuna (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham City

Swansea need to find some consistency if they are to finish inside the top six this season, and a clash with a stuttering Birmingham side is the type of game they must take maximum points from. Birmingham have lost their last five league matches but showed signs of improvement in their FA Cup defeat on Tuesday night, and we believe they will do enough to earn a point in South Wales on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
54.3% (0.0040000000000049 0) 23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.5% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 54.29%
    Birmingham City 21.98%
    Draw 23.72%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.67%
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
74.3%
Draw
17.1%
Birmingham City
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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