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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Birmingham logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Birmingham

Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Fisher (13')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Mejbri (90+8'), Bacuna (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Birmingham City

Swansea need to find some consistency if they are to finish inside the top six this season, and a clash with a stuttering Birmingham side is the type of game they must take maximum points from. Birmingham have lost their last five league matches but showed signs of improvement in their FA Cup defeat on Tuesday night, and we believe they will do enough to earn a point in South Wales on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
54.3% (0.0040000000000049 0) 23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.5% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 54.29%
    Birmingham City 21.98%
    Draw 23.72%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.67%
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Swansea vs Birmingham

Swansea City
74.3%
Draw
17.1%
Birmingham City
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Manning (15')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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