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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
45.31% ( -0.01) | 27.37% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.85% ( -0.02) | 58.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% ( -0.01) | 78.81% ( 0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% ( -0.01) | 25.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.52% ( -0.01) | 60.48% ( 0.01) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -0.01) | 37.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -0.01) | 73.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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