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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 2
Cardiff


Mejbri (55'), Bielik (59'), Dean (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Etete (59'), Allsop (90+5'), Robinson (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Cardiff City

Birmingham are coming into this clash after the high of derby day success over West Brom on Friday night, a feeling that has not tended to suit Eustace's side this season in the following matches. Cardiff were outclassed by Middlesbrough on Saturday and will be looking for a solid away performance at St Andrew's, one which could at least earn them a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
45.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 27.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)78.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)25.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.48% (0.012 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)37.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.85% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 45.31%
    Cardiff City 27.32%
    Draw 27.37%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
75.5%
Draw
16.0%
Cardiff City
8.5%
106
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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