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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
45.31% ( -0.01) | 27.37% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.85% ( -0.02) | 58.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% ( -0.01) | 78.81% ( 0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% ( -0.01) | 25.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.52% ( -0.01) | 60.48% ( 0.01) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -0.01) | 37.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -0.01) | 73.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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