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Attendance: 40,694
Chelsea logo
Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2020 at 2pm UK
 
Everton logo

4-0

Mount (14'), Pedro (21'), Willian (51'), Giroud (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview: Chelsea vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Sunday's Premier League fixture between Chelsea and Everton.

Chelsea head into their Premier League encounter with Everton requiring at least a point to keep hold of fourth position in the standings.

Although the Toffees currently sit in 11th place, Carlo Ancelotti returns to Stamford Bridge knowing that victory will take his side to within five points of Sunday's opponents.


Match preview

Chelsea manager Frank Lampard applauds on January 11, 2020© Reuters

After being outclassed by Bayern Munich in the Champions League, Frank Lampard would have been relatively content with a comeback point being secured at Bournemouth last weekend.

Gaining a potentially-important share of the spoils on their travels gave Chelsea slight momentum heading into Tuesday's FA Cup tie with Liverpool - a crucial match in their campaign now that they are unlikely to make any further progress in Europe.

While they rode their luck at times against the Premier League leaders, Chelsea ultimately deserved their 2-0 triumph at Stamford Bridge, seemingly laying the foundations for an improved run of form going forward.

However, although Lampard will talk up the performance of his side, the Englishman will be wary of getting too carried away with the Blues having only put together back-to-back wins on one occasion since the beginning of November.

That is a damning statistic for a team of Chelsea's profile, but it may be that a teenager of a small stature can act as the catalyst for a stronger end to the campaign.

Billy Gilmour in action for Chelsea against Liverpool on March 3, 2020© Reuters

On just his third senior start, Billy Gilmour ran the show against Liverpool, partly due to his talent and partly because of Liverpool being unsure on how to handle the emerging prospect.

With Chelsea down to the bare bones in midfield, the 18-year-old is expected to occupy a role in front of the defence, although Lampard will err on the side of caution when it comes to expectations of the talented Scot.

Gilmour will likely be assisted by Ross Barkley, who is full of confidence ahead of the meeting with his former club after his brilliant individual strike against their Merseyside rivals in midweek.

Ancelotti will also be motivated to get one over his old club, particularly having avoided a touchline ban for a post-match rant after a controversial goal was disallowed against Manchester United last weekend.

The Italian will get a favourable reception from the Stamford Bridge crowd having previously won a league title with Chelsea, but that will be where the pleasantries end as the Toffees look to move closer to the top four.

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on January 21, 2020© Reuters

While Ancelotti would have hoped for more than one point from games against Arsenal and United, he has been left relatively content with the performance of his team in the final third.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in five of his last six appearances, while Richarlison has been a constant menace for opposition defences as he continues to chip in with goals and assists.

From a defensive perspective, however, Everton must improve with 10 goals being shipped during their last half-a-dozen contests in the Premier League.

Two of the most recent goals have been down to errors from Jordan Pickford, although the England stopper played his part in ensuring that Everton earned a share of the spoils last weekend.

Everton currently find themselves on a brutal run of fixtures, with Liverpool and Leicester City the visitors to Goodison Park in their next two matches.

Trips to Tottenham Hotspur, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Sheffield United are also still to come, putting pressure on Ancelotti's side to take their opportunities against opposition who make a habit of gifting teams a way into matches.

Chelsea Premier League form: LDDLWD
Chelsea form (all competitions): DLWLDW

Everton Premier League form: DDWWLD


Team News

Chelsea's Kepa Arrizabalaga pictured on December 14, 2019© Reuters

Having kept a clean sheet against Liverpool in midweek, Kepa Arrizabalaga will almost certainly retain his spot for the weekend, leaving Willy Caballero to drop down to the substitutes' bench.

With the suspended Jorginho and injured Mateo Kovacic joining N'Golo Kante on the sidelines, Gilmour, Barkley and Mason Mount should make up Chelsea's midfield three.

Willian is also carrying an Achilles problem, which could potentially result in Reece James being used on the right flank.

Everton defender Seamus Coleman will miss out with a thigh problem, meaning that Djibril Sidibe will be handed a recall.

Yerry Mina will hope to come into the team ahead of Michael Keane, while Ancelotti must wait to see if Lucas Digne is available after a muscular injury.

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Arrizabalaga; Azpilicueta, Zouma, Rudiger, Alonso; Gilmour, Barkley, Mount; James, Giroud, Pedro

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Sidibe, Mina, Holgate, Baines; Walcott, Gomes, Davies, Sigurdsson; Richarlison, Calvert-Lewin


Head To Head

Sunday's encounter will represent the 183rd competitive meeting between the two clubs, with Chelsea recording 72 wins in comparison to 56 victories for Everton.

Despite the historical record, the Toffees are unbeaten in their last four outings against the Blues, conceding just one goal during those fixtures.

However, you have to go back to 1994 for the last time that Everton prevailed in a Premier League game at Stamford Bridge.


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Chelsea 2-2 Everton

This has all the makings of a back-and-forth contest. Neither side has impressed at the back of late, and that should lead to goals in West London. With both teams possessing quality in the final third, we feel that an entertaining draw will be played out at Stamford Bridge.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a win it was 1-2 (5.33%).


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Billy Gilmour in action for Chelsea against Liverpool on March 3, 2020
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4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
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15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
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18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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