Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Tianjin TEDA win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.