Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 57.7%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 21.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.