Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.