MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:03:19| >> :60:108:108:
Curacao national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 18, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Saint Lucia national football team

Curacao
4 - 1
St Lucia

Kastaneer (27', 30'), Bacuna (73', 79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Charles (28')
Doxilly (50')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Curacao and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 0-5 Curacao
Friday, November 15 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 0-4 Grenada
Friday, November 15 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
CuracaoDrawSaint Lucia
56.28% (-0.206 -0.21) 22.72% (0.23 0.23) 21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.795 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76% (-1.042 -1.04)45.24% (1.042 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (-1.003 -1)67.58% (1.004 1)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.431 -0.43)15.88% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.799 -0.8)45.11% (0.8 0.8)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)35.62% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.638 -0.64)72.39% (0.63900000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Curacao 56.27%
    Saint Lucia 21%
    Draw 22.72%
CuracaoDrawSaint Lucia
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 56.27%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.248 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.163 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21%

How you voted: Curacao vs St Lucia

Curacao
100%
Draw
0.0%
Saint Lucia
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 10pm
League B
St Lucia
2-1
Curacao
Jude-Boyd (24'), Elva (55')
Doxilly (64')
Brenet (63')
Gaari (29'), Bacuna (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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