CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Beausejour Stadium
Saint Martin1 - 2St Lucia
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Martin and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curacao 4-0 Saint Martin
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Grenada 1-2 St Lucia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Martin | Draw | Saint Lucia |
53.73% ( 0.14) | 20.6% ( -0.3) | 25.67% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 67.96% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
