MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 16:14:23| >> :60:48:48:
Saint Lucia national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 15, 2024 at 12am UK
Beausejour Stadium

St Lucia
0 - 4
Saint Martin


Henville (36'), Stanislas (66'), Thomas (78')
Thomas (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Lebon (8' pen., 45+2'), Barakat (26'), Arne (62')
Barakat (32'), Dumas (73')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Saint Martin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 1-2 St Lucia
Saturday, October 12 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Martin

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 1-2 St Lucia
Saturday, October 12 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawSaint Martin
46.84% (0.451 0.45) 23.74% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.42% (-0.445 -0.45)
Both teams to score 59.62% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.12% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-0.228 -0.23)64.52% (0.226 0.23)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.090000000000003 0.09)18.19% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.15499999999999 0.15)49.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.411 -0.41)27.12% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (-0.538 -0.54)62.51% (0.536 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 46.84%
    Saint Martin 29.42%
    Draw 23.74%
Saint LuciaDrawSaint Martin
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.42%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 1am
League B
Saint Martin
1-2
St Lucia
Raga Rigobert (30')
Montantin (55')
Elva (76', 90')
Charles (15'), Joseph (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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