Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio A Lomba
Arosa0 - 1Valencia
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Arosa and Valencia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arosa had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Arosa win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match.
Result | ||
Arosa | Draw | Valencia |
24.49% ( 0.03) | 26.76% ( -0) | 48.75% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.29% ( 0.03) | 57.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( 0.02) | 78.46% ( -0.02) |
Arosa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.01% ( 0.04) | 75.99% ( -0.05) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.01) | 23.75% ( 0) |