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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Granada logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Granada

Pepelu (45+7' pen.)
Guerra (51'), Paulista (58'), Lopez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (12'), Sanchez (40'), Torrente (45+6'), Villar (78'), Zaragoza (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Granada

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 2-1 Granada

 Granada have not had too many problems finding the back of the net this season, scoring 17 times, with only six sides scoring more in La Liga in 2023-24. Lopez's side are conceding at an alarming rate, though, and we are expecting an in-form Valencia to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawGranada
48.61% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.74% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.141 0.14)57.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.113 0.11)78.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.075000000000003 0.08)23.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.107 0.11)57.65% (-0.108 -0.11)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.086999999999996 0.09)38.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.49% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.6%
    Granada 24.74%
    Draw 26.65%
ValenciaDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.74%

How you voted: Valencia vs Granada

Valencia
80.4%
Draw
10.9%
Granada
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
3-1
Granada
Guedes (48'), Gomez (51'), Soler (62' pen.)
Comert (27'), Musah (34'), Maranhao (69')
Domenech (56' og.)
Diaz (63'), Rochina (79'), Quini (88')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Granada
1-1
Valencia
Suarez Charris (16')
Monchu (45'), Duarte (45+3'), Sanchez (49'), Gonalons (90')
Soler (88' pen.)
Alderete (65'), Correia (81')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Valencia
2-1
Granada
Wass (4'), Blanco (66')
Soldado (90')
Sanchez (33'), Quini (67'), Montoro (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Valencia
Kenedy (45+3'), Molina (88')
Foulquier (16'), Herrera (40'), Puertas (72'), Gonalons (90+6')
Duarte (76')
Gameiro (36')
Jason (9'), Wass (33'), Mangala (48')
Jason (70'), Guedes (73')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 34
Granada
2-2
Valencia
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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