MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:04:12| >> :600:2471241:2471241:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Oviedo
0 - 2
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (24'), Barrios (83')
Gimenez (44'), Witsel (80'), Griezmann (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Oviedo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Granada
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Elche
Thursday, December 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Oviedo 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Real Oviedo are more than capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Atletico, and we are expecting a close contest on Wednesday. Shocks can happen at this stage of the competition, but Simeone is expected to select a strong side, so Atletico should progress into the last-16 stage of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.75%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawAtletico Madrid
18.51% (-0.349 -0.35) 25.26% (-0.117 -0.12) 56.23% (0.467 0.47)
Both teams to score 42.98% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.13% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)78.79% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (-0.422 -0.42)45.79% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (-0.332 -0.33)81.56% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (0.185 0.19)20.71% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.289 0.29)53.31% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 18.51%
    Atletico Madrid 56.23%
    Draw 25.26%
Real OviedoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.89% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.51%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 14.93% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.75% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 6.17% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.43% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 56.23%

How you voted: Real Oviedo vs Atletico

Real Oviedo
7.0%
Draw
14.0%
Atletico Madrid
79.1%
43
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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