Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.73%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.