Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.