Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Always Ready
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Nacional and Always Ready.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 3-3 Nacional
Sunday, March 10 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 10 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Always Ready 1-0 Nacional
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Always Ready |
53.24% ( -0.12) | 23.9% ( -0.05) | 22.86% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
