MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 19:04:00| >> :60:171:171:
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Flamengo

Olimpia
3 - 1
Flamengo

Torres (12'), Ortiz (69'), Bruera (80')
Ortiz (7'), Romana (59'), Torres (81'), Silva (85'), Zavala (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henrique (8')
Sampaoli (45+45'), Wesley (52'), Luis (77'), Barbosa (79'), Araujo (90+8')
Sampaoli (52+52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Olimpia and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Olimpia
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Olimpia 1-2 Flamengo

Flamengo dominated Olimpia when the two teams met for the first leg and that psychological advantage could prove to be crucial when it comes to this match on Friday. Considering the fact that the visitors have a lead to protect they are already in a more comfortable position, and while Olimpia will ask questions it should be the defending champions that progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
OlimpiaDrawFlamengo
35.93% (1.531 1.53) 25.79% (0.315 0.32) 38.29% (-1.845 -1.85)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-0.86 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-1.204 -1.2)49.27% (1.203 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-1.095 -1.1)71.32% (1.095 1.1)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.331 0.33)26.55% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.437 0.44)61.75% (-0.438 -0.44)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-1.513 -1.51)25.22% (1.513 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-2.132 -2.13)59.96% (2.131 2.13)
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 35.93%
    Flamengo 38.29%
    Draw 25.78%
OlimpiaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.508 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.389 0.39)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.6% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.29%

How you voted: Olimpia vs Flamengo

Olimpia
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Flamengo
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Flamengo
1-0
Olimpia

Torres (23'), Fernandez (30'), Ortiz (34'), Salazar (82')
Aug 18, 2021 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Flamengo
5-1
Olimpia
Barbosa (30', 77'), Henrique (36'), Arao (49'), Salcedo (55' og.)
Vitinho (65'), Viana (68')
Eduardo Recalde (45')
Sosa (46'), Ojeda (48'), Otalvaro (65'), Gamarra (90')
Aug 11, 2021 11.15pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Olimpia
1-4
Flamengo
Torres (45+14')
Ortiz (20'), Orzusa (38'), Gonzalez (42'), Salcedo (50')
De Arrascaeta (16'), Barbosa (45+12' pen., 52'), Vitinho (90+1')
Luis (42'), Henrique (45'), Isla (54'), De Arrascaeta (55')
rhs 2.0
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