Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.