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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Metz logo

Bastia
vs.
Metz

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Pau
Friday, January 24 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 3-0 Grenoble
Friday, January 24 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bastia win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Metz has a probability of 29.71% and a draw has a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Metz win is 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).

Result
BastiaDrawMetz
41.5% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 28.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 29.71% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.27% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38% (0.073 0.07)61.99% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.26% (0.053000000000001 0.05)81.73% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.44% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)65.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (0.12 0.12)37.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.96% (0.119 0.12)74.03% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 41.5%
    Metz 29.7%
    Draw 28.78%
BastiaDrawMetz
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.7%

Who will win Friday's Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz?

Bastia
Draw
Metz
Bastia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Metz
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Metz
1-1
Bastia
Jallow (90+8')
Colin (90+3')
Boutrah (38')
Ducrocq (29'), Bohnert (70'), Tramoni (85')
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Metz
3-2
Bastia
Sabaly (31'), Maziz (55', 75')
Bohnert (68'), Schur (86')
Salles-Lamonge (23'), Brouard (24'), Kaiboue (90+2')
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Mar 17, 2017 6pm
Metz
1-0
Bastia
Cioni (46' og.)
Balliu (50'), Nguette (69')

Cioni (38'), Ngando (78')
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Djiku (23'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Coulibaly (22'), Danic (83')

Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient20124434191540
2Metz20107330141637
3Paris FCParis FC20114531191237
4DunkerqueDunkerque2011363024636
5GuingampGuingamp20112735241135
6Laval2096530191133
7Annecy209652725233
8PauPau207762322128
9Grenoble208392325-227
10Bastia2051142319426
11AmiensAmiens2082102128-726
12Clermont206681923-424
13Rodez AFRodez AF206593234-223
14Red Star2064102136-1522
15Troyes2063111923-421
16Ajaccio2063111525-1021
17Caen2043131929-1015
18Martigues2043131337-2415


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