Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Delfin win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Delfin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Delfin would win this match.