Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito2 - 1Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Botafogo
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
We said: LDU Quito 1-1 Sao Paulo
Both teams will bring strong squads to this match, and Sao Paulo will certainly be confident they have the quality to cause problems away from home. However, the incredible run of form that LDU Quito are on right now will make them difficult to break, in what will likely be a very tight and cagey game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for LDU Quito in this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Sao Paulo |
38.36% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0) | 36.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( 0.01) | 45.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( 0.01) | 67.75% ( -0.01) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0) | 23.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.56% ( 0.01) | 57.44% ( -0) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.01) | 24.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.29% ( 0.01) | 58.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
LDU Quito 38.36%
Sao Paulo 36.69%
Draw 24.94%
| LDU Quito | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 6% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 6% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.69% |
How you voted: LDU Quito vs Sao Paulo
LDU Quito
37.5%Draw
25.0%Sao Paulo
37.5%16
Head to Head
Form Guide
