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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

River Plate
3 - 1
Atletico Nacional

Arezo (5', 26'), Piriz (90')
Viera (42')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Duque (34')
Duque (45'), Palacios (45+4'), Rovira (47')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between River Plate and Atletico Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawAtletico Nacional
26.11%25.74%48.14%
Both teams to score 50.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18%52.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56%74.44%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82%35.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07%71.92%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05%21.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76%55.23%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 26.11%
    Atletico Nacional 48.14%
    Draw 25.74%
River PlateDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-1 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.21%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.11%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 4.49%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.14%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2020 10.15pm
Second Stage
Atletico Nacional
1-1
River Plate
Hernandez (34')
Andrade (7'), Perlaza (19'), Quintana (45+5')
Mosquera (45+3')
Salaberry (69')
Rodriguez (45'), Salaberry (59'), Ospitaleche (66'), Bonifazi (83'), N. Borbas Silva (89')
rhs 2.0
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