MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:52:50| >> :60:1:1:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 1, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Independiente del Valle

Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Independiente


Reinaldo (45+1'), Calleri (88'), Diego (89')
Calleri (90+3'), Diego (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (13'), Faravelli (67')
Carabajal (43'), Schunke (79'), Pellerano (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melgar 0-3 Independiente
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Sao Paulo 3-2 Independiente del Valle

Given Sao Paulo's quality in attack it would be a surprise if they were thwarted by their opponents on Saturday. Their incredible history in South American football also gives them something of an edge, with that respect factor perhaps giving them an extra one or two percent. Yet, Independiente del Valle have proven themselves as a proficient side in attack and while they are weaker on paper than their counterparts, they should give the Brazilian giants a strong run for their money. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawIndependiente del Valle
52.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.97%
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45%71.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 52.76%
    Independiente del Valle 22.97%
    Draw 24.25%
Sao PauloDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.76%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Independiente

Sao Paulo
60.0%
Draw
26.7%
Independiente del Valle
13.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
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11Brentford2394104240231
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13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
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