Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Dec 7, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB3 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Newell's Old Boys and Lanus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Lanus |
| 47.57% | 25.28% | 27.15% |
| Both teams to score 52.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
