Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 39.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 29.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.4%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.