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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gillingham

Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Swindon
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Gillingham

 Wimbledon may have won just one of their previous six home league games, but they will still head into the final round of fixtures of 2024 with the league's joint second-best home record, and we think that they will take advantage of their familiar surroundings to claim a narrow victory, especially as Gillingham have lost four of their last six away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AFC Wimbledon.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
52.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)56.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (0.035999999999994 0.04)40.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.05%
    Gillingham 22.07%
    Draw 25.86%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Gillingham
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Masterson (85')

Tilley (43')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Gillingham
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Ehmer (58'), Alexander (66')
Al-Hamadi (52')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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