Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.