Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Colon had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.