Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 5, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Rosario1 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Boca Juniors.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 36.16% | 27.34% | 36.5% |
| Both teams to score 49.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
