Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina0 - 0Bologna
Fiorentina win 4-4 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Genoa
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We say: Fiorentina 0-1 Bologna
The latest Derby dell'Appennino sees two teams separated by a huge mountain range meeting with little to choose between them this season. Only the lack of a first-rate striker has limited Fiorentina's progress, but Bologna boast an attack featuring Joshua Zirkzee and can upset the goal-shy Viola. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
61.5% ( -0.13) | 22.05% ( 0.13) | 16.44% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.17% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% ( -0.55) | 49.12% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% ( -0.5) | 71.19% ( 0.5) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% ( -0.23) | 15.47% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.66% ( -0.43) | 44.34% ( 0.43) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.99% ( -0.33) | 43.01% ( 0.33) |