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Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Bologna logo

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Bologna


Bonaventura (116')
FT
(aet)

Ferguson (88'), Saelemaekers (109')
Fiorentina win 4-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Genoa
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: Fiorentina 0-1 Bologna

 The latest Derby dell'Appennino sees two teams separated by a huge mountain range meeting with little to choose between them this season. Only the lack of a first-rate striker has limited Fiorentina's progress, but Bologna boast an attack featuring Joshua Zirkzee and can upset the goal-shy Viola. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBologna
61.5% (-0.133 -0.13) 22.05% (0.135 0.13) 16.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (-0.551 -0.55)49.12% (0.554 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (-0.5 -0.5)71.19% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.23 -0.23)15.47% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.429 -0.43)44.34% (0.432 0.43)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (-0.329 -0.33)43.01% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (-0.277 -0.28)79.3% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 61.49%
    Bologna 16.44%
    Draw 22.05%
FiorentinaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 12.41% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 61.49%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.076 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 16.44%

How you voted: Bologna vs Fiorentina

Bologna
42.9%
Draw
13.5%
Fiorentina
43.7%
126
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Fiorentina
2-1
Bologna
Bonaventura (17'), Gonzalez (48' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Ranieri (90+5')
Zirkzee (33' pen.)
Saelemaekers (36'), Motta (40'), Aebischer (45+2')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 21
Fiorentina
1-2
Bologna
Saponara (19')
Orsolini (14' pen.), Posch (47')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Bologna
2-1
Fiorentina
Barrow (59'), Arnautovic (62')
Martinez (54')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Fiorentina
1-0
Bologna
Torreira (70')
Torreira (76')

Bonifazi (23'), Soumaoro (73'), Hickey (86'), Sansone (90+3')
Bonifazi (41')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-3
Fiorentina
Barrow (42'), Hickey (83')
Dominguez (24'), Theate (50'), Soumaoro (90+4')
Maleh (33'), Biraghi (51'), Vlahovic (67' pen.)
Torreira (25'), Milenkovic (64'), Amrabat (90')
> Preview
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