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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Bologna logo

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Bologna

Saponara (19')
Julio (29'), Mandragora (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsolini (14' pen.), Posch (47')
Orsolini (18'), Schouten (53'), Dominguez (67'), Lucumi (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Spezia
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna

Despite running into some good form of late, Bologna do not tend to travel well and are still burdened by a long injury list. Boosted by recent results, Fiorentina can therefore claim a win to take them above their visitors in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBologna
69.61% (1.387 1.39) 17.7% (-0.46 -0.46) 12.69% (-0.928 -0.93)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-1.134 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-0.102 -0.1)37.61% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)59.84% (0.109 0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.30600000000001 0.31)9.73% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (0.71299999999999 0.71)32.4% (-0.714 -0.71)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-1.461 -1.46)41.13% (1.459 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-1.322 -1.32)77.67% (1.321 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 69.61%
    Bologna 12.69%
    Draw 17.7%
FiorentinaDrawBologna
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.375 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.92% (0.281 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.7%
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.69%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Bologna

Fiorentina
72.5%
Draw
13.7%
Bologna
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Mar 13, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Bologna
Torreira (70')
Torreira (76')

Bonifazi (23'), Soumaoro (73'), Hickey (86'), Sansone (90+3')
Bonifazi (41')
Dec 5, 2021 11.30am
Bologna
2-3
Fiorentina
Barrow (42'), Hickey (83')
Dominguez (24'), Theate (50'), Soumaoro (90+4')
Maleh (33'), Biraghi (51'), Vlahovic (67' pen.)
Torreira (25'), Milenkovic (64'), Amrabat (90')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Bologna
3-3
Fiorentina
Palacio (31', 71', 84')
Soumaoro (20'), Svanberg (47')
Vlahovic (21' pen., 74'), Bonaventura (64')
Milenkovic (76'), Julio (79')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
0-0
Bologna

Julio (8'), Pezzella (71'), Bonaventura (90+2'), Kouame (90+4')

De Silvestri (4'), Schouten (28'), Dominguez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torino532085311
2Udinese431074310
3Napoli43019459
4Empoli52305239
5Inter Milan42209368
6Juventus42206068
7Lazio42118627
8Atalanta BCAtalanta42028806
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
10AC Milan41219635
11Genoa412145-15
12Parma411267-14
13Lecce411216-54
14Fiorentina403156-13
15Monza403134-13
16Roma403123-13
17Bologna403147-33
18Como402237-42
19CagliariCagliari502318-72
20VeneziaVenezia401318-71


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