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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Bologna

Simy (75')
Coulibaly (26'), Tchaouna (36'), Mazzocchi (39'), Dia (42'), Daniliuc (48'), Gyomber (54'), Kastanos (89')
Fazio (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Bologna

All three of Salernitana's wins in league and cup this season have come at Stadio Arechi, while Bologna are yet to taste success on the road. Despite the disparity between them in the table, a fourth straight draw in this fixture could therefore be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
32.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 25.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 41.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)48.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.038 -0.04)71.01% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)28.23% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.88%
    Bologna 41.53%
    Draw 25.59%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
10.0%
Draw
26.7%
Bologna
63.3%
30
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
2-2
Bologna
Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bologna
1-1
Salernitana
Arnautovic (52' pen.)
Dia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
1-1
Bologna
Zortea (72')
Ranieri (7'), Coulibaly (70'), Nicola (74')
Arnautovic (43')
Soriano (59'), Arnautovic (79'), De Silvestri (82')
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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