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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Bologna

Simy (75')
Coulibaly (26'), Tchaouna (36'), Mazzocchi (39'), Dia (42'), Daniliuc (48'), Gyomber (54'), Kastanos (89')
Fazio (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Bologna

All three of Salernitana's wins in league and cup this season have come at Stadio Arechi, while Bologna are yet to taste success on the road. Despite the disparity between them in the table, a fourth straight draw in this fixture could therefore be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
32.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 25.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 41.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)48.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.038 -0.04)71.01% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)28.23% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.88%
    Bologna 41.53%
    Draw 25.59%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
10.0%
Draw
26.7%
Bologna
63.3%
30
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
2-2
Bologna
Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bologna
1-1
Salernitana
Arnautovic (52' pen.)
Dia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
1-1
Bologna
Zortea (72')
Ranieri (7'), Coulibaly (70'), Nicola (74')
Arnautovic (43')
Soriano (59'), Arnautovic (79'), De Silvestri (82')
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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