MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 11:32:25| >> :60:22:22:
Malawi national football team
COSAFA Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
South Africa national football team

Malawi
0 - 0
South Africa

FT

Gumede (38')
South Africa win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's COSAFA Cup clash between Malawi and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho (0-3 pen.)
Friday, July 14 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 1-2 Zambia
Friday, July 14 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Malawi 1-2 South Africa

With both teams still hurting from losing their respective semi-final ties, we are expecting an open and end to end affair. That said, we are tipping South Africa to narrowly edge out Malawi and claim a podium finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawSouth Africa
46.13%27.97%25.9%
Both teams to score 44.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.04%60.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.03%80.96%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34%61.66%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15%39.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.49%76.51%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 46.12%
    South Africa 25.9%
    Draw 27.96%
MalawiDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 14.01%
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.71%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 25.9%

How you voted: Loser Semi-final 1 vs Loser Semi-final 2

Loser Semi-final 1
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Loser Semi-final 2
22.2%
9
rhs 2.0
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