COSAFA Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Malawi1 - 1Lesotho
Lesotho win 3-0 on penalties
We say: Malawi 2-0 Lesotho
Off the back of a solid group-stage run, Malawi will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to continue their quest for dominance in the South. We predict that the Flames will outclass a deflated Lesotho side and book their spot in the final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.96%).
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Lesotho |
44.39% ( -2.52) | 28.04% ( 0.72) | 27.56% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.63% ( -1.5) | 60.36% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.48% ( -1.15) | 80.51% ( 1.15) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -1.96) | 27.09% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.53% ( -2.63) | 62.46% ( 2.62) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% ( 0.7) | 38.08% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.15% ( 0.67) | 74.85% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
Malawi 44.39%
Lesotho 27.56%
Draw 28.03%
| Malawi | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.5)2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.56% |
How you voted: 1st ranked Group B vs 1st ranked Group C
1st ranked Group B
72.7%Draw
18.2%1st ranked Group C
9.1%11
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Friendlies 3
Malawi
1-1
Lesotho
Jul 6, 2022 4pm
Group Stage
Lesotho
2-1
Malawi
Oct 14, 2019
2pm
International Friendlies
Lesotho 
L
vs.
M
