MX23RW : Friday, January 31 03:17:21| >> :600:5069117:5069117:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Neuer Tivoli

Alemannia Aachen
2 - 3
Holstein Kiel

Timothy Hanraths (28'), Benschop (60')
Scepanik (45'), Timothy Hanraths (45+5'), Heinz (56'), Bapoh (90+3'), Goden (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machino (16'), Rosenboom (82', 90+1')
Porath (59'), Remberg (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's DFB-Pokal clash between Alemannia Aachen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Koblenz 2-1 Alemannia Aachen
Sunday, July 28 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Monday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Alemannia Aachen 1-0 Holstein Kiel

Holstein go into this fixture on a poor run of form, which we think could impact their performance against an Alemannia Aachen side who are already competing in league matches and have made a positive start to their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Alemannia Aachen had a probability of 9.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for an Alemannia Aachen win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Alemannia AachenDrawHolstein Kiel
9.93% (-0.337 -0.34) 15.42% (-0.287 -0.29) 74.65% (0.624 0.62)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (0.357 0.36)34.39% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (0.401 0.4)56.31% (-0.402 -0.4)
Alemannia Aachen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (-0.392 -0.39)43.74% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (-0.329 -0.33)79.91% (0.33 0.33)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.2% (0.21599999999999 0.22)7.8% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.31% (0.547 0.55)27.69% (-0.548 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Alemannia Aachen 9.93%
    Holstein Kiel 74.64%
    Draw 15.42%
Alemannia AachenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 2.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-0 @ 2.82% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 9.93%
1-1 @ 7.2% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 15.42%
0-2 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 9.44% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 7.81% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.02% (0.147 0.15)
1-4 @ 4.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.07% (0.107 0.11)
1-5 @ 2.54% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.31% (0.059 0.06)
1-6 @ 1.08% (0.038 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 74.64%

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