DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 14, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Glucksgas Stadion
Dynamo Dresden4 - 1Hamburger SV
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Dynamo Dresden and Hamburger SV.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Dresden | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 25.72% | 23.08% | 51.2% |
| Both teams to score 58.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% | 41.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% | 64.19% |
| Dynamo Dresden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.37% | 65.63% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% | 16.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.91% | 46.09% |
| Score Analysis |
Dynamo Dresden 25.73%
Hamburger SV 51.2%
Draw 23.08%
| Dynamo Dresden | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.21% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.2% |
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 23, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 14
Hamburger SV
2-1
Dynamo Dresden
Kreuzer (47')
Kreuzer (54'), Burnic (63'), Nikolaou (67')
Kreuzer (54'), Burnic (63'), Nikolaou (67')
Feb 11, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 18, 2018 5.30pm
Form Guide
