DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Audi-Sportpark
Ingolstadt0 - 1Dusseldorf
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC Ingolstadt 04 and Fortuna Dusseldorf.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 36.69% | 24.68% | 38.63% |
| Both teams to score 58.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
