MX23RW : Friday, January 31 07:58:28| >> :60:100:100:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 31, 2022 at 2.31pm UK
 
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Oberachern
1 - 9
Borussia M'bach

Huber (61')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Thuram (3', 22', 36'), Hofmann (37', 45+3'), Bensebaini (45'), Stindl (47'), Scally (59'), Neuhaus (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's DFB-Pokal clash between Oberachern and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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We said: Oberachern 0-4 Borussia Monchengladbach

This should be a routine victory for Gladbach as Farke looks to get his time at the club up and running with a victory. The difference in quality between these sides could not be more stark, with the likes of Jonas Hofmann and Marcus Thuram likely to be eager to get themselves off the mark for the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 93%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Oberachern had a probability of 2.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-4 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.38%) and 0-5 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.94%), while for a Oberachern win it was 2-1 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
OberachernDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2.2% (0.046 0.05) 4.8% (0.063899999999999 0.06) 93% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.6% (0.269 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
88.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)11.51% (0.039 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
75.1% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)24.9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Oberachern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (0.28 0.28)47.74% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (0.206 0.21)83.04% (-0.202 -0.2)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)1.25% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.25% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)6.75% (0.0589 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Oberachern 2.2%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 93%
    Draw 4.8%
OberachernDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 2.2%
1-1 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.57% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.8%
0-4 @ 9.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 8.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 6.78% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.2% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 5.86% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-6 @ 4.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.033 0.03)
0-7 @ 3.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-7 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.03 0.03)
2-5 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-8 @ 2.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-6 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
1-8 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-7 @ 1% (0.004 0)
0-9 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 93%

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