Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.