Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-3 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.