Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
De Graafschap2 - 1Helmond
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Helmond Sport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-3 De Graafschap
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Oss
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
55.49% ( 0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.28) | 20.91% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
