Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
