Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.