EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport3 - 1Charlton
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Newport County and Charlton Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Newport
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
41.36% ( -0.01) | 24.76% ( 0) | 33.88% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0) | 44.98% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% | 67.33% ( 0) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( -0) | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( -0.01) | 54.93% ( 0.01) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0) |