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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
58.72% ( -0.36) | 23.62% ( 0.17) | 17.65% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 45.93% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( -0.36) | 53.39% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( -0.3) | 74.93% ( 0.3) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( -0.26) | 17.93% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% ( -0.45) | 48.76% ( 0.45) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.96% ( 0.03) | 44.03% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.85% ( 0.02) | 80.15% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |