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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Port Vale

Charlton
3 - 2
Port Vale

Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Clare (4'), Hector (39'), Morgan (65'), Dobson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Proctor (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Port Vale

 Port Vale would have taken confidence from Saturday's win against Bristol Rovers, but picking up a win at The Valley may prove to be a difficult challenge. The Valiants have not won an away game since New Year's Day, and we think that Charlton will take advantage of Port Vale's away day struggles to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawPort Vale
45.86% (-0.347 -0.35) 23.49% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 30.65% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.3% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.14 -0.14)40.24% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.146 -0.15)62.61% (0.149 0.15)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)17.85% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (-0.334 -0.33)48.61% (0.338 0.34)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.111 0.11)25.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.149 0.15)60.19% (-0.145 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 45.86%
    Port Vale 30.65%
    Draw 23.48%
Charlton AthleticDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.65%

How you voted: Charlton vs Port Vale

Charlton Athletic
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Port Vale
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Port Vale
1-0
Charlton
Butterworth (58')

Sessegnon (5')
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Port Vale
Magennis (30'), Ajose (44')
Ulvestad (38'), Lookman (55')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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