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League One
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Lincoln City

Accrington
0 - 3
Lincoln


Tharme (39'), Woods (75')
Perritt (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
House (24'), Roughan (55'), Bishop (58')
House (60'), O'Connor (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Lincoln City

 Accrington Stanley's home record does not make for great reading, but Lincoln's poor run of results makes us think that John Coleman's side can claim at least a point here. Lincoln have drawn 13 games this season, which is the highest in the division, while Accrington have only won three games out of a possible 12 at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
38.84% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 26.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 34.43% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)53.38% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.114 -0.11)74.92% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.116 -0.12)26.82% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88% (-0.153 -0.15)62.11% (0.153 0.15)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)29.44% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.44% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.83%
    Lincoln City 34.43%
    Draw 26.72%
Accrington StanleyDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.43%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Lincoln
2-2
Accrington
 Accrington win 3-1 on penalties
Hopper (7', 80')
Mandroiu (45+2'), O'Connor (77'), Jackson (83')
Presley (36', 73')
Conneely (89'), Presley (90+3')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-1
Accrington
Diamond (60' pen.)
Virtue (27')
Rodgers (85')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Lincoln
Jackson (34' og.), Bishop (59')
Savin (61')
Fiorini (90+3')
Whittaker (85'), Marquis (90'), Fiorini (90+7')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Lincoln
0-1
Accrington

Adelakun (77')
Bishop (55')
Rodgers (17'), Coyle (23'), Sykes (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 6pm
Lincoln
2-2
Accrington
Rogers (53'), Hopper (84')
McGrandles (80'), Grant (83')
Charles (6', 90+1')
Barclay (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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