MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:16:45| >> :600:248384:248384:
Derby logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby
4 - 1
Wolves U21s

Collins (43', 55', 62'), Weston (79')
Fapetu (34'), Sibley (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
J. (49')
Kandola (20'), Gonzalez (24'), Esen (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Derby County and Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 5 at 2.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest U21s 2-2 Wolves U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 76.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 8.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s
76.6% (-0.161 -0.16) 15.22% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 8.17% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.57% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (-0.052 -0.05)39.68% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (-0.052 -0.05)62.03% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.37% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)8.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.24% (-0.121 -0.12)29.75% (0.114 0.11)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.77% (0.168 0.17)51.22% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.51% (0.11 0.11)85.49% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 76.59%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s 8.17%
    Draw 15.22%
Derby CountyDrawWolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s
2-0 @ 13.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 6.64% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 76.59%
1-1 @ 7.24% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.22%
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 8.17%

How you voted: Derby vs Wolves U21s

Derby County
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s
11.1%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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