League One | Gameweek 7
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Derby4 - 0Northampton
FT(HT: 3-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 3-1 Derby
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-0 Northampton Town
Following a defeat at the weekend, Derby will be desperate to return to winning ways on Tuesday, and we believe that they will do enough to claim all three points against a Northampton side that has lost three consecutive away games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Northampton Town |
55.76% ( 0) | 24.18% ( 0) | 20.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
