MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:43:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Derby logo

Stevenage
3 - 1
Derby

Roberts (32'), MacDonald (45+2'), Hemmings (84')
Reid (59'), Piergianni (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mendez-Laing (38')
Cashin (11'), Forsyth (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Derby County

Having lost just one home league game this season, Stevenage are a tough team to beat at the Lamex Stadium, and we think that they will produce a battling display to hold Derby to a draw in Saturday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawDerby County
31.88% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 27.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.74% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)56.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (0.0040000000000013 0)77.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)32.68% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)69.23% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.2% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.61% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 31.88%
    Derby County 40.73%
    Draw 27.38%
StevenageDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.88%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.73%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Derby

Stevenage
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
50.0%
8
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!